This post will be updated with important information during the off-season.
Common "New Owner" Mistakes
1. Understanding the impact of splits for hitting and pitching. There will be more RHB and RHP than LHB and LHP, so keep in mind how important "splits" (R v. L) can be.
2. Keep in mind how "advanced scouting" works. It will be average in your first year ($14M), so the accuracy in which you see player ratings will be impacted. If another owner has an advanced scouting of $20M, he will see with much greater accuracy a player's true current and projected ratings. This is important with free agents and trades.
3. It is almost NEVER beneficial to "release" a player. Typically, "waiving" a player is a much better option. When you "release" a player, you will continue to pay his salary no matter how long the contract is, and another owner can sign him and only pay him the minimum.
4. Understand the importance of setting your budget. It's the first thing you have to do so fire by trial. Please spend time reading the FAQ section, the player's guide, and ASK OTHER OWNERS if you have questions about the budget.
5. Dont' be fooled by the "overall" rating. The best closer in the game can be a 60 overall because a pitcher is "penalized" for having low stamina. A SP can be a 75 because he has a low LHB split, but he can be a great pitcher if he has a very high RHB split. Overall ratings should be taken with a grain of salt in some cases, and it takes a while before you understand what individual ratings are important for different positions.
6. Know how arbitration works. A player will have 2-4 years of player minimum salary (typically 3, depending on when you call them up) and then 3 years of arbitration. If you go to Arb 3, a player may or may not re-sign after the 3rd year. If you go to Arb 2, you have a much better chance of re-signing the player long-term. You can sign before Arb 1 if you want and it will reduce long-term salary commitment, but player might not re-sign and you'd lose years of service.
HighFives
Wednesday, October 2, 2013
Sunday, September 29, 2013
Season 21 Pre-Offseason
Hello out there...
After a season in which I changed jobs and had to worry about moving to another state, my team made it to the world series. So, I will no longer be an active commissioner since clearly the less time I put in, the better my team plays!
Just kidding...
Here is a recap of Season 20:
World Series Results: Kansas City over Charleston (4-2)
AL MVP - Aurelio Arias (Har)
AL Cy Young - Koji Chang (Chr)
AL ROY - Jarod Valentine (Far)
AL Fireman - Emmanuel Lopez (Jax)
NL MVP - Sven Owen (KC)
NL Cy Young - Shin-Soo Ishida (TB)
NL ROY - Andre Lee (CSP)
NL Fireman - Javier Sosa (Ana)
ALL TEAMS HAVE BEEN CLAIMED!
After a season in which I changed jobs and had to worry about moving to another state, my team made it to the world series. So, I will no longer be an active commissioner since clearly the less time I put in, the better my team plays!
Just kidding...
Here is a recap of Season 20:
World Series Results: Kansas City over Charleston (4-2)
AL MVP - Aurelio Arias (Har)
AL Cy Young - Koji Chang (Chr)
AL ROY - Jarod Valentine (Far)
AL Fireman - Emmanuel Lopez (Jax)
NL MVP - Sven Owen (KC)
NL Cy Young - Shin-Soo Ishida (TB)
NL ROY - Andre Lee (CSP)
NL Fireman - Javier Sosa (Ana)
ALL TEAMS HAVE BEEN CLAIMED!
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Way too late Midseason Power Rankings
American League
Overall Team Rankings
1. Salem Silver Bullets (55-21)
2. Hartford Pit Bulls (56-20)
3. Charleston Country Boys (54-22)
4. Richmond Poormen (52-24)
5. Jacksonville Jackers (44-32)
6. Portland Beavers (44-32)
Best Pitching Staff
1. Charleston
2. Richmond
3. Hartford
Best Lineup
1. Charleston
2. Richmond
3a. Hartford
3b. Salem
Mid-Season AL MVP
*Aurelio Arias (HAR)
*Polin Guerrero (CHR)
Mid-Season AL Cy Young
*Adam Halladay (CHR)
National League
Overall Team Rankings
1. Tampa Bay Orange Crush (50-26)
2. Kansas City Mythbusters (48-28)
3. Las Vegas Lightning (45-31)
4. Pawtucket Washouts (46-30)
5. Mexico City Margaritas (44-32)
6. TBD
Best Pitching Staff
1. Kansas City
2. Tampa Bay
3. Pawtucket
Best Lineup
1. Kansas City
2. Tampa Bay
3a. Las Vegas
3b. Pawtucket
Mid-Season NL MVP
*Sam Knotts (CIN)
Mid-Season NL Cy Young
*Bengie Salvador (MC)
Overall Team Rankings
1. Salem Silver Bullets (55-21)
2. Hartford Pit Bulls (56-20)
3. Charleston Country Boys (54-22)
4. Richmond Poormen (52-24)
5. Jacksonville Jackers (44-32)
6. Portland Beavers (44-32)
Best Pitching Staff
1. Charleston
2. Richmond
3. Hartford
Best Lineup
1. Charleston
2. Richmond
3a. Hartford
3b. Salem
Mid-Season AL MVP
*Aurelio Arias (HAR)
*Polin Guerrero (CHR)
Mid-Season AL Cy Young
*Adam Halladay (CHR)
National League
Overall Team Rankings
1. Tampa Bay Orange Crush (50-26)
2. Kansas City Mythbusters (48-28)
3. Las Vegas Lightning (45-31)
4. Pawtucket Washouts (46-30)
5. Mexico City Margaritas (44-32)
6. TBD
Best Pitching Staff
1. Kansas City
2. Tampa Bay
3. Pawtucket
Best Lineup
1. Kansas City
2. Tampa Bay
3a. Las Vegas
3b. Pawtucket
Mid-Season NL MVP
*Sam Knotts (CIN)
Mid-Season NL Cy Young
*Bengie Salvador (MC)
Monday, April 1, 2013
Season 19 Best Off-Season Move
The poll is located on the right hand side of the page. You hover your cursor over the sidebar on the right and then the poll will show up.
Season 19 Way too Early Playoff Predictions
AMERICAN LEAGUE
1. Salem (106-54) - NL WEST DIVISION CHAMPS
2. Charleston (103- 59) - NL SOUTH DIVISION CHAMPS
3. Hartford (98-64) - NL EAST DIVISION CHAMPS
4. Montreal (82-80) - NL NORTH DIVISION CHAMPS
5. Jacksonville (101-61)
6. Richmond (97-65)
NATIONAL LEAGUE
1. Kanas City (110-52) - NL SOUTH DIVISION CHAMPS
2. Las Vegas (96-66) - NL WEST DIVISION CHAMPS
3. Pawtucket (96-66) - NL NORTH DIVISION CHAMPS
4. Cincinnati (85-77) - NL EAST DIVISION CHAMPS
5. Tampa Bay (108-54)
6. Mexico City (95-67)
WORLD SERIES MATCHUP
Charleston vs. Kansas City
World Series Champ
Kansas City
1. Salem (106-54) - NL WEST DIVISION CHAMPS
2. Charleston (103- 59) - NL SOUTH DIVISION CHAMPS
3. Hartford (98-64) - NL EAST DIVISION CHAMPS
4. Montreal (82-80) - NL NORTH DIVISION CHAMPS
5. Jacksonville (101-61)
6. Richmond (97-65)
NATIONAL LEAGUE
1. Kanas City (110-52) - NL SOUTH DIVISION CHAMPS
2. Las Vegas (96-66) - NL WEST DIVISION CHAMPS
3. Pawtucket (96-66) - NL NORTH DIVISION CHAMPS
4. Cincinnati (85-77) - NL EAST DIVISION CHAMPS
5. Tampa Bay (108-54)
6. Mexico City (95-67)
WORLD SERIES MATCHUP
Charleston vs. Kansas City
World Series Champ
Kansas City
Season 19 NL Predictions
NL NORTH
Pawtucket
Key Additions: Oswaldo Ortiz (minors)
Key Subtractions: Kenneth Whitten, Rex Mintz, Gabby Sefcik
Summary: Pawtucket lost a lot of ML talent, but paid the
price to get a future ace in Oswaldo Ortiz. They now have a bright future with
Harley Owen, Garland Bryant, and Ortiz. I think the division is Pawtucket’s to
lose as the other three teams in the NL North didn’t make a whole lot of
improvements in this off-season.
Prediction: 96-66
Buffalo
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Buffalo did not make a lot of moves this
off-season. It will be tough to predict a record here, but I see a step back
due to Pawtucket being the best team in the division.
Prediction: 76-86
Rochester
Key Additions: Christopher Malone
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Malone should help stabilize this rotation, but
there just isn’t a lot of major league talent on the ML team. Should see a
similar record as last year as Buffalo, Rochester, and Scranton should beat up
on each other.
Prediction: 78-84
Scranton
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: I feel like a broken record over the last few team
summaries, but when you weren’t very good last year and you don’t make many
moves to improve your roster, there isn’t much different to say. There is a
chance that Scranton could call up Trent McNamara, and that might move Scranton
into position to contend for 2nd place, but that’s about it.
Prediction: 80-82
NL EAST
Huntington
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Huntington didn’t make many moves this off-season,
but they won statistically the weakest division last year. With a 77-85 record,
Huntington squeaked into the playoffs and then made a quick exit. They still
have one of the best teams in this division, but they better watch out for
Cincinnati.
Prediction: 80-82
San Juan
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: San Juan didn’t make too many moves this
off-season either, and I’m not sure I see much room for improvement. I think
there is a long-term rebuild plan in place, and this division is weak enough to
do so. Should see a decline in wins due to the rise of the mighty Stingers.
Prediction: 62-100
Cincinnati
Key Additions: Felipe Torrealba, Willie James, Jack
Stafford, Sam Knotts, Elston Park
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: If you like spending money, Cincinnati wet
your whistle this off-season spending a combined $107.8M on 5 FA’s (listed
above) for a combined 13 years of playing time. What does that mean? Cincy has
a 2-year time frame to JUST WIN BABY! I look for them to win the division
pretty easily, and then in 2 years have a complete rebuild.
Prediction: 85-77
Philadelphia
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Things can’t get much worse for Philadelphia, but
then again, there isn’t much talent on this ML roster either. I look for an
improvement on the win total because ewells seems to be in it for the long
haul, and they won’t start the season with an abandoned franchise.
Prediction: 52-110
NL SOUTH
Tampa Bay
Key Additions: Earl Shields
Key Subtractions: Julian Grabowski, Danny Darwin
Summary: Tampa Bay lost 2 very good position players,
but softened the blow by re-signing arguably the best FA in the class in Angel
Bennett. They also landed Earl Shields in FA to help with the loss of Danny
Darwin. Part of me says that TB’s SP over-performed last year with 50 different
people winning 15 games (at least it seemed that way). If that comes back down
to reality, the win total might decrease slightly, but they will still be up
there fighting Kansas City to the very end.
Prediction: 108-54
Kansas City
Key Additions: Saul Bonilla
Key Subtractions: Benji Reyes, Vic Villafuerte,
Summary: The rich keep getting richer. Kansas City
seems to add another 1-2 future stars to its farm system every year while
keeping all of its ML talent. This off-season was no different by adding Saul
Bonilla. Bonilla’s value lies primarily as a DH, but KC can use him as a C for
now. Losing Reyes and Villafuerte won’t hurt too bad as it’s who’s up next for
the KC team. I look for another strong regular season performance followed by
another deep playoff run.
Prediction: 110-52
Mexico City
Key Additions: Davey Wilson
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Mexico City did the impossible last year,
outlasting Tampa Bay and Kansas City in the playoffs and making it to the WS.
Richmond make quick work of them, but with the addition of Davey Wilson’s bat,
MC might have enough to take on TB and KC in the regular season as well.
Prediction: 95-67
New Orleans
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: Hank Boskie
Summary: Well, what can you say about the BIG easy,
except that playing in this division is anything but easy. New Orleans should
take advantage of what appears to be several high draft picks over the next few
years and look to build up its farm talent in what is the best division in this
world.
Prediction: 70-92
NL WEST
Las Vegas
Key Additions: Matthew Serrano, Howard Cox, Hank Boskie
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Las Vegas continued to make improvements to
its team by adding SP depth and a solid bat in Boskie. Serrano and Cox are
versatile enough to start or add LR depth. I still worry a little about Vegas’
lineup, but statistically they were pretty good last year. With Colorado Springs going through a
semi-rebuild and the California teams struggling to compete, Las Vegas run on
this division will continue.
Prediction: 96-66
Colorado Springs
Key Additions: Benji Reyes
Key Subtractions: Davey Wilson
Summary: Colorado Springs continues to hang in their
in terms of talent to compete on the ML level, but losing Wilson really hurts
their lineup. This owner is very good and will have the team competing for
division titles again very soon. Look for them at the top in the very near
future.
Prediction: 84-78
San Francisco
Key Additions: Dante Golub
Key Subtractions: Earl Shields
Summary: San Fran did a great job in trading for a
talent like Golub. He should dramatically help the SF offense. Still not sure
if there is enough SP to compete with Las Vegas or CSP, but this team plays
good defense and with timely hitting, they will continue to be competitive.
Prediction: 85-77
Anaheim
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Anaheim has plenty of money to spend but
didn’t quite go all Cincinnati on this off-season. Look for them to make some
mid-season moves to acquire some talent. Other than the hope for a better
future, not a lot of bright spots on the Anaheim ML roster right now. They didn’t
have a pitcher win more than 9 games last year, which makes it tough to compete
for a division title.
Prediction: 61-101
Season 19 AL Predictions
AL NORTH
Montreal
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: Slick Rolls
Summary: Montreal continues to go through a slow
rebuild. You have to admire a team that has dominated its division like
Montreal has (9 straight division titles) and is still finding ways to re-stock
its’ farm system. There is always the potential for some mid-season trades to
occur (assuming Griffey spends more than 30 seconds on the site in one sitting)
that will further show the fact that Montreal is in rebuild mode. Is there
enough in the tank for a 10th straight title?
Prediction: 82-80
Detroit
Key Additions: Nigel Nicholas, Danny Darwin
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Detroit did more good than bad in this
off-season, but it’s going to take a lot for a team to recover from being near the
bottom in the AL in hitting, pitching, and fielding. Nicholas and Darwin should
provide some much needed help defensively. The good news is that Montreal is
not the team that it once was, and there is some room for a new team at the
top. Is Detroit that team… we will see!
Prediction: 74-78
Burlington
Key Additions: Preston Brantley (minors), Nick Varitek
Key Subtractions: Frank Denham, Lenny Fassero (sentimental
reasons only)
Summary: Burlington made a couple of moves including
the release of one of the all-time greats Lenny Fassero. His18-year career in
Burlington has finally come to an end. Other than that, Burlington made one
move for the future acquiring Preston Brantley, a talented young SS, and one
move for the now by replacing Fassero with Nick Varitek. Burlington probably
didn’t do enough to challenge for the division this year, but the future looks
bright with Fernando Polanco and Preston Brantley up the middle.
Prediction: 75-77
Wichita
Key Additions: Kevin Burns
Key Subtractions: Oswald Ortiz, Matthew Serrano
Summary: Wichita made 2 trades that really didn’t do
much for the team. Additionally, there were some small FA signings, including
John Whitehead and Trever King, that proved lackluster. While this team isn’t
prepared to compete for a division crown this year, Andrew understands that
this is a marathon and not a sprint. I think that this Wichita franchise is in
much better shape than it has been in the past, and I see a bright future.
Prediction: 64-98
AL EAST
Hartford
Key Additions: Leon Ramsey
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Hartford is still the team to beat in the AL
East. Like Montreal, Hartford has dominated this division as of late, winning 7
straight titles. Not sure I see much different in Season 19 with Hartford
taking control of the AL East for an 8th straight time.
Prediction: 98-64
Augusta
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions:
Gerald Grim, Scott Sauer, Christopher Malone
Summary: Augusta released a couple of players in what I
guess is an attempt to clear salary. The cupboard is a little bare at the ML
level; however, you can never underestimate the power of a rebuild. I’m not
sure much changes for Augusta, except for a higher number in the loss column.
Prediction: 67-95
Indianapolis
Key Additions: Ralph Wells, Chuck Ankiel
Key Subtractions: Saul Bonilla
Summary: Indianapolis should experience the biggest change
in W/L’s from last season to this season. They have legitimized their bullpen
by adding the star RP of the FA class in Ralph Wells. They also added depth
with Chuck Ankiel. The rest of the roster has remained in tact, except for the
young stud Saul Bonilla. His bat will definitely be missed, but Indy did
receive some defensive help with Donne Bay and Russell Hamlin. All in all, I
expect big things out of Indy this year… enough to overtake Hartford, we’ll
see!
Prediction: 84-78
Trenton
Key Additions: Vic Wallace (promotion)
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Trenton is still looking to add ML talent to its
roster and really did so with the promotion of Vic Wallace. Vic is a serious
talent and should boost a lineup that had issues swinging the stick. Hopefully,
this will be enough to put fans in the seats because there is not much else to
look at in Trenton. Should be another tough season.
Prediction: 64-94
AL SOUTH
Jacksonville
Key Additions: Elmer Barker, Jose Reynoso,
Key Subtractions: Howard Cox
Summary: Jacksonville won the second best division in
all of baseball last year but fizzled out in the playoffs. They suffered a key
loss in the rotation but subsequently replaced Howard Cox with an upgrade of
Elmer Barker. The addition of Jose Reynoso should bolster an already impressive
lineup. The Jaguars keep getting older but that doesn’t mean they aren’t
getting better.
Prediction: 101-61
Charleston
Key Additions: Benito Franco, Vic Villafuerte, “Over-the-hill
combo” (Len McGowan, Louis Williams, and Lawrence Kydd)
Key Subtractions: Chuck Ankiel, Bob Moreno
Summary: Charleston made a huge trade early on
sending Bob Moreno to Seattle for Benito Franco. Charleston was without Moreno
all of last year and had the 3rd best ERA in the AL. The addition of
Franco to the 4th best lineup in the AL leaves very few holes for
opposing pitchers. Charleston also added Vic Villafuerte to provide some
stability at 3B and put another bat in the lineup that can hit LHP. Look for
Charleston to push last year’s division winner Jacksonville and World Series
champion Richmond to the brink.
Prediction: 103-59
Richmond
Key Additions: Kenneth Whitten, Rex Mintz, Frank Denham, Gabby
Sefcik
Key Subtractions: Sam Knotts, Oswaldo Ortiz (minors)
Summary: The first thing that needs to be said is
Richmond will be without 3-time Cy Young winner until around the AS Break. That
is a huge loss for the defending champs. With that said, Richmond has been busy
making moves improving the ML ball club by trading for Whitten, Mintz, Denham,
and Sefcik. Veteran Sam Knotts has left but has since been replaced. Richmond
should be stronger, but how will they survive the first half of the season
without Uribe?
Prediction: 97-65
Durham
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: None
Summary: Durham is in the final stages of rebuild mode, and
we could see a few of those future stars around the AS Break, but this team is
still 2-3 years away from their 3-time WS Champion form of a few years back.
Prediction: 58-104
AL WEST
Salem
Key Additions: Slick Rolls, Steve Hartman (minors)
Key Subtractions: Elston Park, Elmer Baker, Dante Golub,
Benito Gongora
Summary: Salem should take a step back this year
after losing Park and Baker. Slick Rolls should ease the loss of Dante Golub,
but Salem does have enough in their farm system to make a move for starting
pitching during this season. Regardless, Salem is still the cream of the crop
in the AL West.
Prediction: 106-54
Portland
Key Additions: Julian Grabowski, Archie Omlansky
Key Subtractions: Ralph Wells
Summary: Portland added some major firepower to their
offense with the addition of Grabowski and Omlansky. Losing Wells will hurt but
expect Pedro Mateo to step into that role. I think the SP is still a little
light, but I expect Portland to push Salem early on.
Prediction: 93-69
Seattle
Key Additions: Bob Moreno
Key Subtractions: Benito Franco
Summary: Seattle’s big move was to sure up their SP
which the definitely did by adding Moreno through a trade with Charleston. The
issue is that they traded away their best bat in Benito Franco. Getting out of
Tacoma will naturally help all hitters for Seattle, but this team will struggle
to score runs without Franco.
Prediction: 74-88
Oakland
Key Additions: None
Key Subtractions: Archie Omlansky
Summary: Oakland did a great job of locking up a lot
of young talent on their current roster in Jimmie Fonville, Enerio Perez,
Richard Lawton, and Timothy Brea. However, the biggest issue for this team was
not addressed… starting pitching. Oakland should continue to rebuild over this
next year, and I look for them to be a force in the AL West as Salem gets a bit
older and they start to acquire SP.
Prediction: 61-101
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